Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for FC Ufa had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest FC Ufa win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
