SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
63.94% ( 0.01) | 19.61% | 16.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0) | 38.3% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( -0) | 60.58% ( 0) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% | 11.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.95% ( 0) | 36.05% ( -0) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( -0.01) | 36.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( -0.01) | 73.24% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0)1-0 @ 9% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.17% 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.7% 5-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.26% Total : 63.94% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.44% |
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