Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
