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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 13, 2021 at 4pm UK
Fisht Olympic Stadium

Sochi
3 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Noboa (28' pen.), Popov (89'), Yusupov (90+7' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ignatov (27'), Yusupov (36'), Prokhin (45+3'), Tsallagov (48'), Rodrigao (63'), Gigot (79'), Bakaev (90'), Adamov (90+1'), Popov (90+3')
Noboa (66'), Caufriez (90+6')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawSpartak Moscow
43.33%24.19%32.48%
Both teams to score 59.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26%42.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85%65.14%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95%52.05%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52%25.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68%60.32%
Score Analysis
    Sochi 43.33%
    Spartak Moscow 32.48%
    Draw 24.18%
SochiDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.48%

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