Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
31.5% (![]() | 23.7% (![]() | 44.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.16% (![]() | 40.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% (![]() | 63.23% (![]() |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.12% (![]() | 59.88% (![]() |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% (![]() | 18.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% (![]() | 49.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sochi | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
2-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.5% | 1-1 @ 10.84% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.14% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.8% |
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