SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
23.07% ( 0.01) | 24.18% ( 0.01) | 52.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.02) | 49.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.02) | 71.16% ( 0.02) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0) | 35.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( 0) | 72.57% ( -0) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( -0.02) | 18.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.17% ( -0.03) | 49.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.07% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.75% |
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