Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.