SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Rostov | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 5.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
82.76% ( 0.06) | 11.51% ( -0.04) | 5.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.14% ( 0.06) | 30.86% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.07) | 52.22% ( -0.07) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.52% ( 0.02) | 5.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.61% ( 0.06) | 21.39% ( -0.06) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.46% ( -0.05) | 51.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.3% ( -0.03) | 85.7% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)7-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 82.74% | 1-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.51% | 0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 5.73% |
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