SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Fakel | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sochi | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Rostov | 6 | 3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
25.74% ( -0.16) | 26% ( 0.04) | 48.26% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( -0.27) | 54.06% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( -0.22) | 75.49% ( 0.22) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.28) | 36.16% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.29) | 72.95% ( 0.29) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.06) | 22.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -0.09) | 55.94% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.74% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 48.26% |
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