SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 5 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
47.73% ( 0.49) | 26.84% ( -0.07) | 25.43% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.01) | 57.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% ( -0.01) | 78.2% ( 0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( 0.23) | 24.08% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.32) | 58.37% ( -0.33) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.38) | 38.26% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( -0.36) | 75.02% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 25.43% |
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