Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
52.99% ( 0.03)	24% ( -0.01)	23% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.57% (

0.03)

48.43% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

0.02)

70.56% (

-0.03)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

0.02)

18.22% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.75% (

0.04)

49.24% (

-0.04)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

72.26% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 52.99%

Torpedo Moskva 23%

Draw 24%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.99%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23%