Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
59.76% ( -0.02) | 21.48% ( 0) | 18.75% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.07% ( 0.02) | 42.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.67% ( 0.02) | 65.33% ( -0.02) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( -0) | 13.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.52% | 41.48% |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.4% ( 0.03) | 36.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.61% ( 0.03) | 73.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.76% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.75% |
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