Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sochi | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
65.53% ( -0.02) | 19.62% ( 0.07) | 14.84% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.37% ( -0.41) | 41.62% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.97% ( -0.42) | 64.02% ( 0.42) |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.1% ( -0.12) | 11.9% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.77% ( -0.27) | 37.22% ( 0.27) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.43% ( -0.32) | 40.57% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.83% ( -0.29) | 77.17% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Sochi | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 65.52% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.62% | 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 14.84% |
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