SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
41.92% ( -0.26) | 25.8% ( -0.1) | 32.27% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.5) | 50.03% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.44) | 72.01% ( -0.45) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 0.09) | 23.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.21% ( 0.13) | 57.78% ( -0.14) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.48) | 29.17% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 0.59) | 65.11% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.27% |
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