SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
36.28% ( 0.46) | 26.63% ( 0.05) | 37.08% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( -0.19) | 52.85% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.53% ( -0.16) | 74.47% ( 0.16) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.18) | 28.04% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.23) | 63.69% ( -0.24) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.38) | 27.57% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( -0.49) | 63.09% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.08% |
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