SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 26.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Sochi |
45.65% ( -0.52) | 28.18% ( 0.83) | 26.17% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% ( -2.94) | 61.49% ( 2.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( -2.24) | 81.36% ( 2.24) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -1.61) | 26.97% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -2.16) | 62.31% ( 2.17) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( -1.9) | 39.91% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( -1.79) | 76.57% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 1.13)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.38% Total : 26.17% |
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