Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Sochi
45.65% ( -0.52)	28.18% ( 0.83)	26.17% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.51% (

-2.94)

61.49% (

2.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.64% (

-2.24)

81.36% (

2.24)

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

-1.61)

26.97% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69% (

-2.16)

62.31% (

2.17)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.09% (

-1.9)

39.91% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.43% (

-1.79)

76.57% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 45.65%

Sochi 26.17%

Draw 28.17%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 14.1% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.38% Total : 26.17%