SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
47.98% ( -1.92) | 24.67% ( 0.61) | 27.35% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -1.65) | 47.57% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -1.54) | 69.77% ( 1.55) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( -1.42) | 19.88% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( -2.35) | 51.99% ( 2.35) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 0.16) | 31.39% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( 0.18) | 67.77% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
