SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
42.1% ( -0.03) | 25.96% ( 0.02) | 31.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.07) | 50.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.06) | 72.66% ( 0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.04) | 23.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -0.06) | 58.11% ( 0.06) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( -0.02) | 29.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.03) | 65.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.94% |
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