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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
34.66% ( -2.37) | 25.79% ( -0.21) | 39.55% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( 0.72) | 49.4% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.64) | 71.45% ( -0.64) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -1.05) | 27.36% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -1.37) | 62.82% ( 1.38) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( 1.74) | 24.61% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( 2.38) | 59.11% ( -2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.55% |
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