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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
IC

Dunfermline
1 - 1
Inverness

McCann (87')
Chalmers (45'), Hamilton (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Devine (43')
Gilmour (45+2'), Harper (45+3'), Duffy (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
43.15% (-0.417 -0.42) 25.52% (0.32 0.32) 31.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.61% (-1.029 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (-1.355 -1.36)49.15% (1.352 1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (-1.237 -1.24)71.21% (1.233 1.23)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.77699999999999 -0.78)22.69% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-1.163 -1.16)56.34% (1.16 1.16)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.61699999999999 -0.62)29.36% (0.613 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (-0.763 -0.76)65.34% (0.758 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 43.15%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.32%
    Draw 25.51%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.317 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.361 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.32%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Dundee Utd
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-2 Dunfermline
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 3-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 3-1 Morton
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Partick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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