SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
41.71% ( 0.03) | 23.98% | 34.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0) | 41.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( -0) | 63.62% ( 0.01) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.01) | 20% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 0.02) | 52.18% ( -0.02) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -0.02) | 23.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( -0.03) | 57.82% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.3% |
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