SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
49.34% ( -1.28) | 25.49% ( 0.25) | 25.17% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.16) | 52.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.14) | 74.17% ( 0.14) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.61) | 21.3% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.95) | 54.24% ( 0.95) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( 0.81) | 35.8% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( 0.83) | 72.58% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.17% |
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