Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
