SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
47.99% ( 0.4) | 26.77% ( 0.09) | 25.24% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.76% ( -0.67) | 57.23% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( -0.54) | 78.08% ( 0.53) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.1) | 23.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( -0.15) | 58.11% ( 0.14) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -0.81) | 38.34% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.78) | 75.09% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
