SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
55.96% ( 0.01) | 24.38% ( 0) | 19.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0) | 53.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0) | 75.12% ( 0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0) | 19.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( 0) | 50.64% ( -0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.01) | 41.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( -0.01) | 78.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.28% 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 19.66% |
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