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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
47.49% ( 0.07) | 25.55% ( 0.07) | 26.96% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.4) | 51.51% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.35) | 73.31% ( 0.35) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.14) | 21.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.2) | 54.85% ( 0.21) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0.32) | 33.78% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( -0.35) | 70.45% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.96% |
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