SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
57.78% ( -0.01) | 23.38% | 18.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0) | 72.72% ( -0) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0) | 17.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( -0) | 47.73% ( 0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.87% ( 0.01) | 41.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.33% ( 0.01) | 77.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.84% |
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