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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
47.75% ( -0.27) | 24.61% ( -0.06) | 27.65% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( 0.49) | 47.1% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( 0.45) | 69.34% ( -0.44) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( 0.08) | 19.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( 0.13) | 51.85% ( -0.13) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.5) | 30.93% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( 0.58) | 67.22% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.65% |
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