SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
44.57% ( -0.18) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 30.07% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.02) | 48.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( 0.01) | 71.07% ( -0.02) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.08) | 21.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.11) | 55.25% ( 0.11) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.12) | 30.14% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( 0.15) | 66.29% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.07% |
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