Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
