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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% ( 0.06) | 26.56% ( -0.16) | 37.51% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.65) | 52.57% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( 0.55) | 74.23% ( -0.55) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.35) | 28.12% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.44) | 63.8% ( -0.44) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.36) | 27.19% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( 0.47) | 62.6% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.51% |
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