Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
