SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46% ( -0.93) | 24.14% ( 0.47) | 29.85% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.28% ( -1.91) | 43.71% ( 1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.89% ( -1.9) | 66.11% ( 1.9) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -1.13) | 19.17% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -1.9) | 50.83% ( 1.9) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.65) | 27.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( -0.84) | 63.16% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.85% |
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