SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
24.64% ( -0.06) | 26.46% ( -0.04) | 48.9% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.1) | 56.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( 0.08) | 77.53% ( -0.08) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0) | 38.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0) | 75.24% ( -0) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( 0.09) | 23.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( 0.13) | 57.07% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.89% |
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