Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
24.64% ( -0.06)	26.46% ( -0.04)	48.9% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

0.1)

56.54% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

0.08)

77.53% (

-0.08)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

38.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

75.24% (

-0)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

0.09)

23.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

0.13)

57.07% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 24.64%

Raith Rovers 48.89%

Draw 26.45%

Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.64%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.89%