SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
37.95% ( -0.05) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 35.66% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( 0.02) | 51.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( 0.02) | 73.61% ( -0.02) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.02) | 26.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( -0.02) | 61.83% ( 0.02) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( 0.04) | 27.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( 0.05) | 63.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.66% |
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