SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
51.43% ( 0.27) | 23.78% ( -0.1) | 24.79% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( 0.27) | 45.75% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( 0.25) | 68.07% ( -0.25) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( 0.2) | 17.81% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.47% ( 0.35) | 48.53% ( -0.35) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0) | 32.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.01% ( -0) | 68.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.43% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.79% |
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