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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 4.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
85.82% ( 0.13) | 9.62% ( 0.01) | 4.56% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.98) | 26.41% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.25% ( -1.26) | 46.74% ( 1.26) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.83% ( -0.14) | 4.17% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.58% ( -0.46) | 17.42% ( 0.46) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.92% ( -1.42) | 52.08% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.94% ( -0.95) | 86.06% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 3-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.14)6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.13)7-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.57% Total : 85.82% | 1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.62% | 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 4.56% |
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