SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
33.85% ( -7.32) | 23.78% ( -0.13) | 42.37% ( 7.46) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( 0.39) | 40.37% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( 0.4) | 62.74% ( -0.4) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( -3.51) | 23.55% ( 3.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( -5.35) | 57.61% ( 5.35) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.66% ( 3.8) | 19.35% ( -3.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( 5.89) | 51.13% ( -5.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.94) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.87)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -1.23)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.93)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.92)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.52)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.26)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.85% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.7)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1.18)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.97)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.94)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.57)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.5)Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.37% |
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