Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Livingston |
24.24% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( -0) | 53.61% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.47% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.1% ( -0.03) | 38.9% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.78% ( -0.03) | 61.22% ( 0.03) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% ( -0.05) | 29.22% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% ( -0.06) | 65.17% ( 0.06) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.43% ( 0) | 14.57% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.36% ( 0.01) | 42.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Livingston |
2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.61% |
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