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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
LL

Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Livingston

Jamieson (26')
Yates (44'), Wedderburn (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pittman (52'), Bradley (55', 59')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: East Fife 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawLivingston
24.24% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 22.15% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 53.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)38.9% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.78% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)61.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)29.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)65.17% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 24.24%
    Livingston 53.61%
    Draw 22.14%
StenhousemuirDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.24%
2-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.61%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: East Fife 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Stranraer
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 3-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-2 Forfar
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-2 Livingston
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 Livingston
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 2-1 Livingston
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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