SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
50.27% ( 0.75) | 22.99% ( -0.2) | 26.73% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.46) | 40.52% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.48) | 62.9% ( -0.48) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 0.44) | 16.29% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( 0.8) | 45.85% ( -0.8) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( -0.16) | 28.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( -0.21) | 63.86% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.62% Total : 26.73% |
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