SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
57.15% ( -1) | 21.83% ( 0.24) | 21.02% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% ( -0.06) | 41.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( -0.06) | 63.61% ( 0.06) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( -0.33) | 14.22% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( -0.65) | 41.96% ( 0.65) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.7) | 33.31% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( 0.76) | 69.92% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.02% |
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