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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
43.55% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 29.95% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.26) | 53.68% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( 0.22) | 75.17% ( -0.21) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.1) | 24.47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( 0.14) | 58.92% ( -0.13) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( 0.2) | 32.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.82% ( 0.22) | 69.18% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95% |
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