SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
48.26% ( 1) | 24.99% ( -0.18) | 26.75% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( 0.23) | 49.33% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 0.21) | 71.38% ( -0.2) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.52) | 20.47% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( 0.82) | 52.94% ( -0.82) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.52) | 32.79% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -0.58) | 69.34% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.75% |
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