Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
