SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%).
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
39.22% ( -0.43) | 24.09% ( 0.18) | 36.69% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.87) | 41.34% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( -0.88) | 63.74% ( 0.89) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.58) | 21.21% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( -0.91) | 54.1% ( 0.92) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.26) | 22.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -0.39) | 56.01% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.69% |
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