Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
