SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
52.62% ( -0.35) | 24.54% ( 0.04) | 22.84% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.17) | 50.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( 0.15) | 72.68% ( -0.15) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( -0.07) | 19.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( -0.12) | 50.99% ( 0.12) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% ( 0.39) | 36.96% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( 0.39) | 73.75% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.84% |
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