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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Elgin City |
31.25% ( -0.16) | 24.29% ( -0.05) | 44.45% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.16) | 43.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.15) | 66.1% ( -0.15) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.03) | 26.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( -0.03) | 61.97% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( 0.15) | 19.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.1% ( 0.25) | 51.9% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.25% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.45% |
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