SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Dumbarton |
27.23% ( 0.12) | 24.63% ( 0.05) | 48.14% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.14) | 47.51% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.13) | 69.72% ( 0.13) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( 0.02) | 31.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( 0.02) | 67.84% ( -0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.12) | 19.79% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.15% ( -0.2) | 51.85% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.13% |
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