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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
33.45% ( -1.15) | 24.84% ( 0.13) | 41.71% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -0.88) | 45.45% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.84) | 67.78% ( 0.84) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( -1.09) | 26.19% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -1.49) | 61.28% ( 1.49) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 0.11) | 21.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( 0.16) | 54.99% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.71% |
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